Rethinking climate change

by J. Curry, March 10, 2026 in ClimateEtc.


by Nicola Scafetta

My new book is now published:

The Frontier of Climate Science: Solar Variability, Natural Cycles and Model Uncertainty

For more than twenty years, my research has explored the interplay between climate dynamics, solar variability, and complex systems. During this time, I have watched the climate debate become increasingly polarized, often reduced to a narrow narrative that leaves little room for uncertainty or alternative interpretations.

My new book, The Frontier of Climate Science, was written to address this gap. It is not intended as a counter‑dogma, nor as a political statement. It is a scientific journey — one that examines what we know, what we assume, and what remains unresolved about the climate system.

In this article, I share some of the motivations behind the book and highlight a few of its central themes.

Over the years, I have become increasingly convinced that the climate system cannot be fully understood through a single explanatory lens. The prevailing attribution framework is the one currently advocated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). It assigns nearly all post‑1850 warming to anthropogenic forcings. However, this assessment rests on computer global climate models (GCMs) that, while sophisticated, still struggle with fundamental aspects of natural variability.

Book synopsis