by P. Gosselin, July 8, 2017 in NoTricksZone
Archives par mot-clé : CO2
Responsiveness of Atmospheric CO2 to Fossil Fuel Emissions: Updated
by Jamal Munshi, July 5, 2017 in SSRN
The IPCC carbon budget concludes that changes in atmospheric CO2 are driven by fossil fuel emissions on a year by year basis. A testable implication of the validity of this carbon budget is that changes in atmospheric CO2 should be correlated with fossil fuel emissions at an annual time scale net of long term trends. A test of this relationship with insitu CO2 data from Mauna Loa 1958-2016 and flask CO2 data from twenty three stations around the world 1967-2015 is presented. The test fails to show that annual changes in atmospheric CO2 levels can be attributed to annual emissions.
…Importance of CO2…
by Donn Dears, July 2017
Here is a summary of the graph’s salient points:
- The CO2 safe limit for US Navy submarines is 8,000 ppm (Dotted red line)
- The CO2 safe limit for the space station is 5,000 ppm (Dotted blue line)
- A line depicting the gradual doubling of CO2 is near the bottom of the graph
- The minimum atmospheric CO2 requirements to sustain plant growth is 150 ppm (Dotted green line)
In addition, atmospheric CO2 has been as high as 7,000 ppm approximately 550 million years ago, and as high as 2,000 ppm as recently as 150 million years ago. (Also here in French)
What the graph clearly shows is how close mankind came to extinction when atmospheric CO2 levels dropped to 183 ppm during the last ice age.
Life on Earth was nearly doomed by too little CO2
by Dennis T. Avery, June 30, 2017 in WUWT
Carbon dioxide truly is “the gas of life.” The plants that feed us and wildlife can’t live without inhaling CO2, and then they exhale the oxygen that lets humans and animals keep breathing.
Our crop plants evolved about 400 million years ago, when CO2 in the atmosphere was about 5000 parts per million! Our evergreen trees and shrubs evolved about 360 million years ago, with CO2 levels at about 4,000 ppm. When our deciduous trees evolved about 160 million years ago, the CO2 level was about 2,200 ppm – still five times the current level.
See also here (in French)
How too little CO2 nearly doomed humankind
by Dennis T. Avery, June 30, 2017 in ClimateChangeDispatch
Statistician Bjorn Lomborg had already pointed out that the Paris CO2 emission promises would cost $100 trillion dollars that no one has, and make only a 0.05-degree difference in Earth’s 2100 AD temperature. Others say perhaps a 0.2 degree C (0.3 degrees F) difference, and even that would hold only in the highly unlikely event that all parties actually kept their voluntary pledges.
Evidence Review Suggests Humans May Not Be The Primary Drivers Of CO2 Concentration Changes
by Kenneth Richard, June 29, 2017 in NoTricksZone
For the last 3 years, human CO2 emissions rates have not risen. In fact, according to the IEA, we burned slightly more fossil fuels in 2014 than we did in both 2015 and 2016.
Despite the lack of growth – even slight decline – in human emissions rates during 2014 – 2016, the atmospheric CO2 parts per million (ppm) concentration grew rapidly – by more than 8 ppm (397 ppm to 405 ppm).
More Evidence of the Great 21st Century Warming Pause
by Y. Xie, J. Huang and Y. Liu, June 26, 2017 in CO2Science
One of the many conundrums facing climate alarmists — who predict that dangerous future global warming will result from increasing concentrations of atmospheric CO2 — is the existence of the aptly-named “warming hiatus.” Also referred to as the “warming pause,” this phenomenon describes a nearly two-decade-long leveling off of global temperatures despite a ten percent increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration since 1998. The significance of these observations resides in the fact that all climate models project that temperatures should not be levelling off, but should be increasing (despite interannual variability) in direct consequence of the ongoing rise in atmospheric CO2.
Is The Average Variation Of Clouds CO2?
by E.M. Smith, June 26, 2017
Until cloud and precipitation data are adequate AND accounted for properly AND the error bands are low enough to cover 1/10 degree increments, we can’t say there is ANY effect from CO2 on temperature. It is at most a conjecture, and not a very good one. You can not ignore the major driver of changes of temperatures (as shown in the above graph) and then attribute temperature changes to something else by supposition.
Evidence of variability of atmospheric CO2 concentration during the 20th century
by Ernst-Georg Beck, Discussion paper, May 2008
Since the 19th century, use of chemical methods has provided reliable atmospheric CO2 gas analyses results that have been obtained predominantly from the northern hemisphere. These direct chemical analyses results provide information on past atmospheric CO2 concentrations in addition to the modern direct atmospheric CO2 measurements since 1958 and the indirect reconstructions of past atmospheric CO2 from ice cores. Comprehensive literature indicates that the chemical methods have provided a systematic accuracy within ± 3 Vol% since 1857.
One lonely molecule…
by Ian Plimmer, Geologist, June 17, 2017
If Australia emits 1.5 per cent of global annual CO2 emissions, 3 per cent of the total annual global emissions are anthropogenic and the atmosphere contains 400 parts per million by volume of CO2, then one molecule in 6.6 million molecules in the atmosphere is CO2 emitted from humans in Australia. This molecule has an atmospheric life of about 7 years before it is removed from the atmosphere by natural sequestration into life and limey sediments.
The Vostok Ice Core: Temperature, CO2 and CH4
by Euan Means, December 12, 2014
In their seminal paper on the Vostok Ice Core, Petit et al (1999) [1] note that CO2 lags temperature during the onset of glaciations by several thousand years but offer no explanation. They also observe that CH4 and CO2 are not perfectly aligned with each other but offer no explanation. The significance of these observations are therefore ignored. At the onset of glaciations temperature drops to glacial values before CO2 begins to fall suggesting that CO2 has little influence on temperature modulation at these times.
See also here
Ocean Warming Dominates The Increase In Energy Stored In the Climate System
by CO2 is Life, May 13, 2017
The basic physics behind CO2 warming the oceans, and therefore the atmosphere simply don’t exist. The only defined mechanism by which CO2 can affect climate change is by “thermalizing” long-wave infrared radiation between 13 and 18-microns. In reality, there is another one, radiation, but that carries heat away from the earth and results in atmospheric cooling.
17 New Scientific Papers Dispute CO2 Greenhouse Effect As Primary Explanation For Climate Change
by Kenneth Richard, June 8, 2017 in NoTricksZone
The conventional basic climate model applies “basic physics” to climate, estimating sensitivity to CO2. However, it has two serious architectural errors. It only allows feedbacks in response to surface warming, so it omits the driver-specific feedbacks
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Germany’s Environment Ministry Blames “Cold Winter” For Stalled Fight Against Climate Warming!
by P. Gosselin, June 7, 2017 in NoTrickZone
Germany is failing horribly to reach its emissions targets, as the following chart in the report shows.
LOL: EU’S CO2 EMISSIONS ON THE RISE, BLAMING COLD WINTER
by Energy Live News, June , 2017 in GWPF
The EU’s total greenhouse gas emissions increased in 2015 for the first time since 2010.
According to new data published by the European Environment Agency (EEA), the 0.5% increase happened largely due to increasing demand for transport – better fuel efficiency in the sector was not enough to offset this.
Complete .pdf available here
The pros and cons of leaf abundance due to increased global carbon dioxide greening the Earth
by Anthony Watts, May 25, 2017
A new global assessment reveals that increases in leaf abundance are causing boreal areas to warm and arid regions to cool. The results suggest that recent changes in global vegetation have had impacts on local climates that should be considered in the design of local mitigation and adaptation plans.
Two Competing Narratives on Carbon Dioxide
by Lain Aitken, May 14, 2017
Is carbon dioxide our friend or our foe? Guest essay by Iain Aitken. Here is a dossier of key facts about carbon dioxide …
Is Murry Salby Right?
by Red Istvan, May 13,2017
The core of Salby’s theory is derived using CO2 data from MLO’s Keeling Curve since 1958, and satellite temperature data since 1979. (His few charts reaching back to 1880 contain acknowledged large uncertainties.) His theory builds off a simple observation, that in ‘official’ estimates of Earth’s carbon cycle budget, anthropogenic CO2 is only a small source compared to large natural sources and sinks.
Recent pause in the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 due to enhanced terrestrial carbon uptake
by Keenan et al., November 8, 2016, Nature
Terrestrial ecosystems play a significant role in the global carbon cycle and offset a large fraction of anthropogenic CO2 emissions. The terrestrial carbon sink is increasing, yet the mechanisms responsible for its enhancement, and implications for the growth rate of atmospheric CO2, remain unclear.
web- Comments
Jim McIntosh , David Mulberry and 2 others posted in Air-Climate-Energy (Jim McIntosh 9 May at 11:18): Reposting because those AGW alarmists hate this report. Yes, plants are doing it better than any carbon tax and they do it for free… as long as we don’t cut them down. You’d think we’d learn by now that managing climate comes back to how we have mismanaged the planet’s forests.
EU trend of CO2 reduction seems to have stopped
by Peter Teffer, May 4, 2017 in euobserver
The EU’s statistical agency Eurostat announced Thursday (4 May) that CO2 emissions resulting from the EU’s energy use have “slightly decreased” in 2016, compared to the year before.
But Eurostat’s press release did not mention that the small decrease has not made up for the small increase in CO2 emissions the year before, and that more CO2 was emitted in 2016 than in 2014.
Y=mX+b, how does Constant CO2 Cause a Change in Temperature?
by co2is life blog, April 15, 2017
The theory goes that over time CO2 increases resulting in an increase in temperature, put another way, temperature is a function of CO2, or T=f(CO2). This model, however, is deeply flawed and demonstrates a disturbing ignorance of science, modeling, and the physics behind the greenhouse gas effect.
Pause Or Not, Climate Models Continue To Grossly Overstate Global Temperature Trends
by P. Gosselin, April 8, 2017
Looking at data objectively, it is pretty clear that there is little relationship between weather/climate and the rising CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere, as the global warming pause between 1997-2016 shows –
Captage du CO2 : Total investit à nouveau en Norvège
by Connaissances des Energies, 11 Avril 2017
Le groupe français Total a signé le 7 avril un protocole de partenariat avec le Technology Centre de Mongstad (TCM), l’une des plus grandes installations au monde de tests en matière de captage de CO2.
Recent increase in oceanic carbon uptake driven by weaker upper-ocean overturning
by Tim De Vries et al., Nature Feb 9, 2017
Continued weakening of the upper-ocean overturning is likely to strengthen the CO2 sink in the near future by trapping natural CO2 in the deep ocean, but ultimately may limit oceanic uptake of anthropogenic CO2.
Questions on the rate of global carbon dioxide increase
by Robert Balic, April 7, 2017
Its also a stretch to assume perfect correlation of the real values, especially since its claimed that CO2 levels have increased due to human emissions and the latter have been at a steady rate for the last three years. There is also the question of why such a good correlation with SH sea-surface temperatures and not NH, and why should the correlation be so perfect when things like changes in ocean currents should have a large effect on how much is sequestered into the depths of the oceans.