by JoNova, October 14, 2017
Archives par mot-clé : Sea level
Durable Original Measurement Uncertainty
by Kip Hansen, October 14, 2017 in WUWT
Temperature and Water Level (MSL) are two hot topic measurements being widely bandied about and vast sums of money are being invested in research to determine whether, on a global scale, these physical quantities — Global Average Temperature and Global Mean Sea Level — are changing, and if changing, at what magnitude and at what rate. The Global Averages of these ever-changing, continuous variables are being said to be calculated to extremely precise levels — hundredths of a degree for temperature and millimeters for Global Sea Level — and minute changes on those scales are claimed to be significant and important.
SEA LEVEL: Rise and Fall- Part 2 – Tide Gauges
by Kip Hansen, October 7, 2017 in WUWT
There are two important points which readers must be aware of from the first mention of Sea Level Rise (SLR):
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SLR is a real concern to coastal cities, low-lying islands and coastal and near-coastal densely-populated areas. It can be real problem. See Part 1 of this series.
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SLR is not a threat to much else — not now, not in a hundred years — probably not in a thousand years — maybe, not ever. While it is a valid concern for some coastal cities and low-lying coastal areas, in a global sense, it is a fake problem.
Catastrophic’ sea level rise in the past may have drowned corals in Hawaii
by University of Sydney, September 28, 2017 in WUWT
Recent findings suggest that episodes of very rapid sea-level rise of about 20m in less than 500 years occurred in the last deglaciation, caused by periods of catastrophic ice-sheet collapse as the Earth warmed after the last ice age about 20,000 years ago.
Lead author, PhD candidate at the University of Sydney, Kelsey Sanborn, has shown this sea-level rise event was associated with “drowning” or death of coral reefs in Hawaii.
See also here
Smaller Trends and No Acceleration of Mediterranean Sea Levels
by S. Zerbini et al., 2017 in Earth-Science Reviews
Zerbini et al. also investigated/tested for the existence of an acceleration of sea level rise in each of the six Mediterranean station’s data, reporting that “our analysis indicates that it is not possible to reliably state the existence of any acceleration, in the area of this study, considering the past 140 years or so, from 1870 through 2012.”
SEA LEVEL: Rise and Fall – Part 1
by Kip Hansen, September 13, 2017 in WUWT
I have written about sea level rise here: here, here, here, here and here. The previous essays are not prerequisites but are interesting specific examples.
There are two important points which readers must be aware of from the first mention of SLR:
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SLR is a real imminent threat to coastal cities and low-lying coastal and near-coastal densely-populated areas.
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SLR is not a threat to anything else — not now, not in a hundred years — probably not in a thousand years — maybe, not ever.
Past Sea Levels Rose 4-6 Meters Per Century, Shorelines Retreated 40 Meters Per Year…Without CO2 Flux
by Kenneth Richard, September 7, 2017 in NoTricksZone
This modern rate – just 0.17-0.18 of a meter per century – has remained relatively unchanged from the overall 20th century average, and there has been no statistically significant acceleration in the sea level rise rate (just 0.0042 mm/yr-²) since 1900.
Water Intrusion in the Chesapeake Bay Region: Is It Caused by Climate-Induced Sea Level Rise?
by Roger H. Bezdek, August 2017 in SciRes
Our findings indicate that the water intrusion problems in the region are due not to “sea level rise”, but primarily to land subsidence due to groundwater depletion and, to a lesser extent, subsidence from glacial isostatic adjustment. We conclude that water intrusion will thus continue even if sea levels decline. These findings are critical because the water intrusion problems in the Chesapeake Bay—and elsewhere—cannot be successfully solved unless their causes are correctly identified and appropriate remedies are devised.
Sea Level Manipulation
by Nils-Axel Mörner, August 5, 2017, in J. Eng.Sci.Invention
Sea level changes is a key issue in the global warming scenario. It has been widely claimed that sea is rising as a function of the late 20th’s warming pulse. Global tide gauge data sets may vary between +1.7 mm/yr to +0.25 mm/yr depending upon the choice of stations. At numerous individual sites, available tide gauges show variability around a stable zero level …
… In this situation, it is recommended that we return to the observational facts, which provides global sea level records varying between ±0.0 and +1.0 mm/yr; i.e. values that pose no problems in coastal protection.
See also here
An Inconvenient Deception: How Al Gore Distorts Climate Science and Energy Policy
by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D., August 19, 2017 in GlobalWarming
Al Gore has provided a target-rich environment of deceptions in his new movie.
After viewing Gore’s most recent movie, An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power, and after reading the book version of the movie, I was more than a little astounded. The new movie and book are chock-full of bad science, bad policy, and factual errors.
Exposing Staggering Ice Sheet Melt Deceptions
by Kenneth Richard, August 7, 2017 in NoTricksZone reposted Paul Homewood
In recent months, two new papers published in The Cryosphere have provided a condensed summary of the ice-melt and sea-level-rise consequences of global warming for the Arctic region.
1. Between 1900 and 2010, the Greenland Ice Sheet (GIS) has melted so extensively and so rapidly that the GIS ice-melt contribution to global sea level rise has amounted to 1.5 centimeters for the entire 110-year period. One-and-a-half centimeters. That’s 0.59 of an inch!
2. It gets worse. Between 1993 and 2010, the contribution to global sea level rise has been a disturbing 0.39 of a centimeter. Almost 4/10ths of a centimeter. That’s 0.15 of an inch!
NASA shows sea levels falling since 2016
by Robert W. Felix in ClimateChangeDispatch
That’s right, according to NASA, sea levels are going DOWN! This is big news. How come the media hasn’t mentioned it?
NASA satellite sea level observations for the past 24 years show that – on average – sea levels have been rising 3.4 millimeters per year. That’s 0.134 inches, about the thickness of a dime and a nickel stacked together, per year.
See also here (nasa.gov)
Sea Level Rise per Jevrejeva
by Paul Homewood, July 25, 2017
I’ve looked at UK sea level rise, but what about global?
As you can see, the rate of rise was very similar between roughly 1930 to 1960, as it has been since 1990. We see the same pattern at UK sites.
David’s graph mirrors that of the original paper. As with most sources of sea level data, the scale is set to make the rise appear to be astronomic.
Given that the IPCC is forecasting a rise of a meter and more by 2100, a more appropriate scale would look like this …
See also here
Sea Level Rise Accelerating? Not.
by Willis Eschenbach, July 20, 2007 in WUWT
There’s a recent and good post here at WUWT by Larry Kummer about sea level rise. However, I disagree with a couple of his comments, viz …
This question all revolves around whether the rate of sea level rise is relatively steady, or whether it is accelerating … so how do we tell the difference?
Study: Sea Level Rise Revised Downward
by Ph.D. Roy Spencer, July 21st, 2017
When I read that, I (like everyone else) assumed that corrections to the satellite sea level data since 1993 have now led to a revised trend toward faster (not slower) sea level rise. Right?
Wrong.
Tales of the Adjustocene: Satellite Sea Level Edition
by David Middleton, July 17, 2017 in WUWT
When the observations don’t match the models, adjust the observations…
So… They accomplished accelerated sea level rise by slowing down the past…
Tangier Island
by Paul Homewood, July 10, 2017
CBS have a report on rising sea levels at Tangier Island, in Chesapeake Bay here
The video is worth watching. The CBS reporter makes the usual attempts to blame it on “climate change”, but the locals know too much to fall for that old pony.
They know that sea levels have been rising, and land eroding, since 1850.
And they are right. Tide gauges in the area, such Sewell Point, Norfolk, confirm that sea levels have been steadily rising for a long time, long before recent rises in emissions of CO2.
Surprise: 2 Recent Papers Show Sea Level Variability Have Little To Do With CO2
Closely Coupled: Solar Activity and Sea Level
by David Archibald, July 3, 2017
From a post a couple of days ago: “an F10.7 flux above 100 causes warming and below that level causes cooling.” Greg asked “Can you prove that?” I already had in this WUWT post from 2012. But it is worth revisiting the subject because it answers the big question – If all the energy that stops the Earth from looking like Pluto comes from the Sun, what is the solar activity level that corresponds to our average climate? Because solar activity is falling and climate will follow.
Is The Rate Of Sea Level Rise Accelerating?
by Paul Homewood, June 29, 2017
Sea level alarmists often claim that the rate of sea level rise is increasing. They need to do this to convince the public that the innocuous 7” or so of sea level rise experienced in the 20thC is suddenly going to turn into meters by 2100.
See also here
A 500-Year Record of Sea Level from Goa, India
by N.-A. Mörner, June 2017, in J. Coastal Research
Fortunately, as revealed in a number of recent studies, proof of such an acceleration of sea level rise remains elusive (see the many reviews we have posted on this topic under the subheading of Sea Level here). The latest work to demonstrate that there is nothing unusual, unnatural or unprecedented about current rates of sea level rise comes from a paper written by sea level expert Nils-Axel Mörner (Mörner, 2017) and published in the Journal of Coastal Research.
Elévation du niveau de la mer : la précision millimétrique des observations satellitaires est-elle crédible ?
by ‘Uskek’ , 16 juin 2017, in Climato-Réalistes
Les mesures satellitaires prétendent mesurer l’élévation du niveau de la mer avec une précision millimétrique. Or La précision des radars altimétriques s’exprime en centimètres. Comment dans ces conditions parvient-on à mesurer un taux d’élévation du niveau de la mer de 3,4 mm par an sur la période 1993-2015 ?
Gore admits Paris pact symbolic – Makes incorrect claims about Greenland, sea levels & extreme weather
on Fox News, in Climate Change Dispatch , June 5, 2017
Former Vice President Al Gore was forced to admit on Sunday that the UN Paris climate accord was a symbolic effort and merely “sends a very powerful signal.” Gore once again spun a series of climate falsehoods in just a few short sound bites
Acceleration in European Mean Sea Level? A New Insight Using Improved Tools
by Phil J. Watson, Journal of Coastal research, May 2017
Key findings are that at the 95% confidence level, no consistent or compelling evidence (yet) exists that recent rates of rise are higher or abnormal in the context of the historical records available across Europe, nor is there any evidence that geocentric rates of rise are above the global average. It is likely a further 20 years of data will distinguish whether recent increases are evidence of the onset of climate change–induced acceleration.
Coral mortality induced by the 2015–2016 El-Niño in Indonesia: the effect of rapid sea level fall
by Eghbert Elvan Ampou et al., 2017
The clear link between mortality and sea level fall also calls for a refinement of the hierarchy of El Niño impacts and their consequences on coral reefs.