Prof. W. Happer, Princeton University (January 2017)
What, besides the bias toward a particular, desired result, is wrong with the science? Scientific progress proceeds by the interplay of theory and observation. Theory explains observations and makes predictions about what will be observed in the future. Observations anchor our understanding and weed out the theories that do not work. This has been the scientific method for more than three hundred years. Recently, the advent of the computer has made possible another branch of inquiry: computer simulation models. Properly used, computer models can enhance and speed up scientific progress. But they are not meant to replace theory and observation and to serve as an authority of their own. We know they fail in economics.
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Excellente synthèse des problèmes liés à la controverse actuelle.
The December 2016 global temperature anomaly from the average of two analysis is 0.20 °C above the average of 1981 – 2010. The large El Niño event is over and we wait to see if it will be followed by a La Niña event. The satellite measured temperature of the lower troposphere to the end of 2016 from the average of the University of Alabama in Huntsville and Remote Sensing Systems analysis is here. The temperature trend from December 1997 to December 2016 is 0.045 ± 0.043 °C/decade at the 95% confidence interval. The slope could be as low as 0.002 °C/decade. According to the satellite data, 2016 was a statistically insignificant 0.02 °C warmer than 1998, which was another strong El Niño year.
- See also : Earth Cooling At The Fatest Rate On Record
- See also : Berkeley Earth -‘record temperature in 2016 appears to come from a strong El Nino’
- See also : 2016 Global Temperature, the Pause Never Went Away
- See also : What they don’t say about ‘the hottest ever year’ – 20 year warming trend is one third of what models predicted
- See also : Smoking Gun of Fraud by NASA and G. Schmidt
La géologie, une science plus que passionnante … et diverse
