by Paul Bert, 20 Novembre 2017, in Contrepoints
15 000 scientifiques lancent un cri d’alarme sur l’état de la planète à la COP23. Penchons-nous sur la rigueur de leur démarche.
Egalement ici
Voir également ici, also see here
Archives mensuelles : novembre 2017
Reconciling Model-Observation Reconciliations
by Steve McIntyre, November 18, 2017 in ClimateAudit
(…) What does this all mean? Are models consistent with observations or not? Up to the recent very large El Nino, it seemed that even climate scientists were on the verge of conceding that models were running too hot, but the El Nino has given them a reprieve. After the very large 1998 El Nino, there was about 15 years of apparent “pause”. Will there be a similar pattern after the very large 2017 El Nino?
COP23 – A New Failure
by A Préat, H Masson, D. Godefridi, November 18, 2017
Translation of an article originally published in French on Contrepoints:
We are witnessing a holy alliance between Third World ecologists and big finance, orchestrated by the European Union, under the amused gaze of the American giant who has now taken leave of all this masquerade.
Egalement voir ici
Germany CO2 Reduction Fails Again For 9th Year Running! …Merkel Exposed As Fake Climate Warrior
by P. Gosselin, November 17, 2017 in NotricksZone
Sometimes you have to wonder which are the biggest fraud: Germany’s claim that its cars are clean, or its claim of being a leader in climate protection. Both, it turns out, are very fake and even downright frauds.
While German Chancellor Angela Merkel and German activists like going around and scolding Donald Trump for his “irresponsible” stance on “greenhouse” gas emissions, it is coming to light that Germany’s climate posturing is indeed a total swindle.
A Zooplankton’s Response to Ocean Acidification and Warming
by Winder M. et al., 2017 in Limnology and Oceanography (CO2Science) November 15, 2017
(…) And commenting on this latter finding, they acknowledge that “this is an important component of the biological pump and may contribute to CO2 removal from the atmosphere, mitigating anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gases.”
Doggerland – The Europe That Was
by National Geography, 2017
The British Isles were once neither British nor isles
Things aren’t always what they seem on the surface. Looking at the area between mainland Europe and the eastern coast of Great Britain, you probably wouldn’t guess it had been anything other than a great expanse of ocean water. But roughly 12,000 years ago, as the last major ice age was reaching its end, the area was very different. Instead of the North Sea, the area was a series of gently sloping hills, marshland, heavily wooded valleys, and swampy lagoons: Doggerland.
Renowned Sea Level Expert: “NO TRACES OF A PRESENT RISE IN SEA LEVEL; On The Contrary: Full Stability”
by Prof. Axel Morner, November 14, 2017 in NoTricksZone
A new paper by renowned Swedish sea level expert Prof. Axel Mörmer published in the International Journal of Earth & Environmental Sciences dumps lots of cold water on the premise that today’s sea level rise is caused by man and is unusual.
Mörner’s paper looks back at the last 500 years of sea level rise and shows that natural variables are the major drivers, and not man-made CO2-driven global warming.
New map of Antarctic geothermal heat suggests Steig & Mann 2009 weren’t measuring ‘global warming’
by Anthony Watts, November 15, 2017 in WUWT
This is quite interesting. Remember the claim in on the front cover of Nature in 2009 by Steig and Mann that Antarctica was warming, thanks to that “special Mannian PCA math sauce” that was applied to air temperature data to smear surface temperature trends over the entire continent? It was dashed by climate skeptics who wrote a paper. It was accepted for publication and disproved (in my opinion) by a team of credible skeptics that wrote a counter-paper. But, there’s an interesting twist thanks to new and surprising data; Steig and Mann may have captured surface air temperature trends in the exact same areas that have been identified as geothermal hot spots.
Study: climate change accelerates growth in trees, especially urban ones
by TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY OF MUNICH, November 14, 2017 in WUWT
While the effects of climate change on tree growth in forests have been extensively studied, there is little information available so far for urban trees”, said Professor Hans Pretzsch from the Chair for Forest Growth and Yield Science at TUM. The study supported by the Bavarian State Ministry for Environment and Consumer Protection as well as by the Audi Foundation for the Environment, which was published in the journal Scientific Reports, for the first time systematically examined the growth of urban trees worldwide for trends resulting from changing environmental conditions.
Something else the climate scientists missed: outgassing due to continental drift
by GFZ GEOFORSCHUNGSZENTRUM POTSDAM, HELMHOLTZ CENTRE, November 13, 2017 in WUWT
When continents break it gets warm on Earth
Rift zones released large amounts of CO2 from depth, which influenced global climate change.
Israeli Astrophysicist rejects UN IPCC – Finds ‘the sun completely overturns the way we should see global warming’
by Dr. Shaviv, November 9, 2017 in ClimateDepot
(…)The body of evidence however clearly shows that the climate sensitivity is on the low side, about 1 to 1.5 degree increase per CO2 doubling. People in the climate community are scratching their heads trying to understand the so called hiatus in the warming. Where is the heat hiding? While in reality it simply points to a low sensitivity.
BBC Forced To Withdraw Fake Sea Level Claims
by Paul Homewood, November 13, 2017 in NotaLotofPeopleKnowThat
Of course, they had no choice but to withdraw the ludicrous claim about “ten times the global rate”!
CO2 Emissions Growing Strongly Again
by Paul Homewood , November 13, 2017 in NotaLotofPeople Know That
(…) I am constantly amazed that the likes of Mark Lynas and Corrinne Le Quere are surprised to see emissions still rising.
If they had bothered to read the Paris Agreement and the INDCs, they would have known that was exactly what was intended.
NASA – Supervolcano may be melting Antarctic ice sheet from below
by Robert, November 10, 2017 in NASA
Confirms what I’ve been saying all along!
NASA scientists admit that a massive heat source almost as hot as the Yellowstone supervolcano may be melting the Antarctic ice sheet from below.It seems like a no-brainer to me. I mean, how can lakes and rivers be flowing beneath the ice unless there’s a heat source down there? And if sub-glacial volcanoes can be melting the ice, why couldn’t underwater volcanoes be heating the sea
Review Of 2017 Atlantic Season
by Paul Homewood, November 12, 2017 in NotaLotPeopleKnowThat
With the Atlantic now devoid of tropical cyclones, I trust we can declare the season closed.
As we all know, its been one of the busier seasons in recent years. But it may surprise many to find that it has not been that unusual.
2017 GLOBAL TEMPERATURE: TOO EARLY TO TELL
by Dr David Whitehouse, November 7, 2017 in GWPF
It is far too early to judge this year’s global temperature developments and their significance regarding the long-term warming trend.
The United Nations climate change conference, held in Bonn this year, is always the cue for press releases from the World Meteorological Office and the UK Met Office in which they give their assessment of the year based on 9-10 months of data.
Dealing with the El Nino of recent years (and don’t forget the ‘Pacific Blob’ before that) they have had difficulty with explaining what part of the record temperature was due to El Nino and natural, and what was anthropogenic.
Site of asteroid impact changed the history of life
by Tohoku University, November 10, 2017 in ScienceDaily
An asteroid, also known as the Chicxulub Impactor, hit Earth some 66 million years ago, causing a crater 180 km wide. The impact of the asteroid heated organic matter in rocks and ejected it into the atmosphere, forming soot in the stratosphere.
According to the study, soot from hydrocarbon-rich areas caused global cooling of 8-11°C and cooling on land of 13-17°C. It also caused a decrease in precipitation by approximately 70-85 percent on land and a decrease of approximately 5-7°C in seawater temperature at a 50-m water depth, leading to mass extinction of life forms including dinosaurs and ammonites
Meshing issues on global temperatures – warming data where there isn’t any
by Tim Crome, November 10, 2017 in WUWT
The plots attached here are taken from the MOYHU blog maintained by Nick Stokes here. The software on the blog allows the global temperature anomaly data for each month for the last several years, it also allows the mesh showing the temperature measurement points to be turned on and off.
Freeman Dyson on ‘heretical’ thoughts about global warmimg
by Freeman Dyson, November 10, 2017 in WUWT FREEMAN DYSON is professor of physics at the Institute for Advanced Study, in Princeton. His professional interests are in mathematics and astronomy
My first heresy says that all the fuss about global warming is grossly exaggerated. Here I am opposing the holy brotherhood of climate model experts and the crowd of deluded citizens who believe the numbers predicted by the computer models. Of course, they say, I have no degree in meteorology and I am therefore not qualified to speak.
But I have studied the climate models and I know what they can do.
New Literature Strongly Suggests CO2 Residence Time In The Atmosphere Is Exaggerated!
by Dr S. Lüning and Prof. F. Vahrenholt, March 26, 2017, in NoTricksZone
In addition, we consider temperature dependent natural emission and absorption rates, by which the paleoclimatic CO2 variations and the actual CO2 growth rate can well be explained. The anthropogenic contribution to the actual CO2concentration is found to be 4.3%, its fraction to the CO2 increase over the Industrial Era is 15% and the average residence time 4 years.”
Massive Expansion Of Thick Arctic Sea Ice Over The Past Decade
by Tony Heller, November 9, 2017 in ClimateChangeDispatch
The animation below shows the extent of 5+ foot thick sea ice at present vs. the same date ten years ago. Ice thinner than five feet thick has been masked out.
Most Modern Warming, Including For Recent Decades, Is Due To Solar Forcing, Not CO2
by Kenneth Richard, November 9, 2017 in NoTricksZone
Though advocates of the dangerous anthropogenic global warming (AGW) narrative may not welcome the news, evidence that modern day global warming has largely been driven by natural factors – especially solar activity – continues to pile up.
Much of the debate about the Sun’s role in climate change is centered around reconstructions of solar activity that span the last 400 years, which now include satellite data from the late 1970s to present.
Hot News from the Antarctic Underground
by Alan Buis, November, 7, 2017, in JPL, NASA
Study Bolsters Theory of Heat Source Under West Antarctica
A new NASA study adds evidence that a geothermal heat source called a mantle plume lies deep below Antarctica’s Marie Byrd Land, explaining some of the melting that creates lakes and rivers under the ice sheet. Although the heat source isn’t a new or increasing threat to the West Antarctic ice sheet, it may help explain why the ice sheet collapsed rapidly in an earlier era of rapid climate change, and why it is so unstable today.
Oceans driving warming this century, same as in 1930s
by Ron Clutz, November 8, 2017, in ClimateChangeDispatch
The graph [after the jump] is noisy, but the density is needed to see the seasonal patterns in the oceanic fluctuations. Previous posts focused on the rise and fall of the last El Nino starting in 2015.
This post takes a longer view, encompassing the significant 1998 El Nino and since. The color schemes are retained for Global, Tropics, NH and SH anomalies.
Despite the long time frame, I have kept the monthly data (rather than yearly averages) because of interesting shifts between January and July.
(…)
NOAA’s USCRN Revisited – no significant warming in the USA in 12 years
by Willis Eschenbach, November 8, 2017, in WUWT
Back in 2014, Anthony put up a post called “NOAA shows ‘the pause’ in the U.S. surface temperature record over nearly a decade“. In it, he discussed the record of the US Climate Reference Network (USCRN). I can’t better Anthony’s description of the USCRN, so I’m stealing it to use here: (…)
See also here