by Patrick Moore, founder of Greenpeace, May 19, 2014 in Spiked J.
Thilo Spahl: You founded Greenpeace 40 years ago; today you fight Greenpeace. What went wrong in the meantime?
(…)
Archives de catégorie : climate-debate
Climate change: 5 things to know about Bonn climate summit
ABC news, Frank Jordans, November 4, 2017
Climate change is back on the agenda with a global climate conference kicking off Monday in the German city of Bonn.
Who’s coming, what are the key debates about and how green will this meeting be? Five things to know about the U.N. conference known as COP23, which runs from Nov. 6-17.
A Deceptive New Report on Climate
by Paul Homewood, November 5, 2017, NotLotPeopleKnowThat
The Federal Climate Science Special Report from the US Global Change Research Program, mandated under the U.S. Global Change Research Act of 1990, has now been published.
As with the draft, which I reported on in August, it is the usual mix of half truths, exaggerations, omissions and outright lies
Can You Explain UAH6? (Now Includes September Data)
by Werner Brozek, November 6, 2017 in WUWT
At Dr. Roy Spencer’s site, regular commenter Des posted a very interesting analysis with respect to September 2017 on UAH6 and the Top 10 first-9-months-of-the-year. Des has graciously allowed me to use their work. Everything that appears below is from Des until you see the statement “Written by Des.” below:
Top 10 Septembers on the record:
1. 2017 (+0.54)
2. 2016 (+0.45) … EL NINO
3. 1998 (+0.44) … EL NINO
4. 2010 (+0.37) … EL NINO
5. 2009 (+0.27) … EL NINO
6. 2005 (+0.25) … EL NINO
7. 2015 (+0.25) … EL NINO
8. 1995 (+0.22) … EL NINO
9. 2012 (+0.22)
10. 2013 (+0.22)(…)
A normal part of nature – sea ice retreat in Antarctica
by Cambridge University , October 29, 2017, in A. Watts, WUWT
‘Scars’ left by icebergs record West Antarctic ice retreat ten thousand years ago – occurred under climate conditions that were relatively similar to those of today.
UAH Global Temperature Update for October 2017: +0.63 deg. C
by Dr Roy Spencer, November 2, 2017 in NoTricksZone
The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for October, 2017 was +0.63 deg. C, up from the September, 2017 value of +0.54 deg. C (click for full size version).
WILL CLIMATE CHANGE CONTROVERSY BRING DOWN ANGELA MERKEL?
by Augsburger Allgemeine, November 4, in GWPF
When it comes to climate change, there are worlds apart between Germany’s aspiring Jamaica Coalition partners. It is all about coal and it is not certain the divide can be bridged.
What You Won’t Find in the New National Climate Assessment
by Dr Pat Michaels, November 3, 2017 in WUWT
Under the U.S. Global Change Research Act of 1990, the federal government has been charged with producing large National Climate Assessments (NCA), and today the most recent iteration has arrived. It is typical of these sorts of documents–much about how the future of mankind is doomed to suffer through increasingly erratic weather and other tribulations. It’s also missing a few tidbits of information that convincingly argue that everything in it with regard to upcoming 21st century climate needs to be taken with a mountain of salt.
Analysis Of European Sea Level Rise
by Paul Homewood, November 2, 2017 in NotLotPeopleKnowThat
European mean sea-level records are among the best time series data available globally by which to detect the presence of necessary accelerations forecast by physics-based projection models to elevate current rates of global sea-level rise (≈3 mm/y) to anywhere in the vicinity of 10–20 mm/y by 2100. The analysis in this paper is based on a recently developed analytical package titled “msltrend,” specifically designed to enhance estimates of trend, real-time velocity, and acceleration in the relative mean sea-level signal derived from long annual average ocean water level time series
Towards process-informed bias correction of climate change simulations
by Douglas Maraun et al., November 2, 2017 in Nature
Biases in climate model simulations introduce biases in subsequent impact simulations. Therefore, bias correction methods are operationally used to post-process regional climate projections. However, many problems have been identified, and some researchers question the very basis of the approach.
Acceleration in European Mean Sea Level? A New Insight Using Improved Tools
by Phil J. Watson, October 21, 2016 in J. of Coastal Research
(…)Key findings are that at the 95% confidence level, no consistent or compelling evidence (yet) exists that recent rates of rise are higher or abnormal in the context of the historical records available across Europe, nor is there any evidence that geocentric rates of rise are above the global average. It is likely a further 20 years of data will distinguish whether recent increases are evidence of the onset of climate change–induced acceleration.
Again And Again: Experts And New Findings Show No Link Between European Storm Activity And CO2
by P. Gosselin, October 31, 2017 in NoTricksZone
By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt
(German text translated/edited by P. Gosselin)This month two major North Sea storms have hit Europe rather severely, and not surprisingly the usual climate ambulance chasers were out in force to try to pin the blame on man’s activity, and in doing so ignored the climate history that provides us with the proper perspective. We look at some analyses of past German storm activity.
Reality vs. Theory: Scientists Affirm ‘Recent Lack Of Any Detectable Acceleration’ In Sea Level Rise
by Kenneth Richard, October 30, 2017 in NoTricksZone
Scientists: ‘Loud Divergence Between Sea Level Reality And Climate Change Theory’
Global Sea Level ‘Acceleration’ Just 0.002 mm/year
Température des océans: la fiabilité des calculs remise en cause
by Le Vif, 31 octobre 2017
Les scientifiques en déduisent que le réchauffement global actuel pourrait potentiellement être “sans précédent” sur les 100 derniers millions d’années. L’étude de ces géochimistes, publiée dans Nature Communications, constitue une sorte de pavé dans la mare des paléoclimatologues qui utilisent depuis les années 1950 ce “paléothermomètre” aidant à bâtir les modèles actuels sur le réchauffement climatique
HadCRUT4.5 anomaly for September 2017 = 0.54C
by Clive Best, October 29, 2017
The HadCRUT4.5 temperature anomaly for September calculated by spherical triangulation is 0.54C, a fall of 0.17C since August. Temperatures have seemingly returned to a long trend after the 2016 El Nino.
Some Failed Climate Predictions
by Javier, October 30, 2017 in WUWT
Here, for the first time in public, is Javier’s entire collection of massive, “consensus” climate science prediction failures. This collection is carefully selected from only academics or high-ranking officials, as reported in the press or scientific journals. Rather than being exhaustive, this is a list of fully referenced arguments that shows that consensus climate science usually gets things wrong, and thus their predictions cannot be trusted.
Rapid Growth of Arctic Sea Ice Persists Thru Last Half of October
by Ron Clutz, October 30, 2017 in ClimateChangeDispatch
Extents expanded rapidly during the last 12 days of October through yesterday, especially on the Eurasian side. At the top center the Laptev Sea fills in completely, and to the left East Siberian Sea is also growing solid ice toward East Asia. Kara sea on the right is growing fast ice from the shore outward, while the Barents Sea fills in from the central Arctic.
Matt McGrath’s El Nino Scaremongering
by Paul Homewood, October 30, 2017 in NotLofPeopleKnowThat
(…) There is nothing unusual at all about this increase in CO2. It is a result of a perfectly natural event, El Nino (…)
An Informative Interview with István Markó
by Istvan Marko (1956-2017), October 28, 2017 in WUWT
This interview was published by Breitbart News Network, in an edited version, on 28 October 2017. Here is the complete version.
István Markó (1956 – 2017) was a professor and researcher in organic chemistry at the Université catholique de Louvain. Prof. Dr. Marko was an outspoken defender of the skeptical view on the issue of human-caused/anthropogenic global warming, appearing in numerous French-language media on the Internet, in public debates and diverse English-language blog postings. He also joined with Anglo-Saxon climate skeptics, publishing several articles together on Breitbart News.
Second interview (part 2) here
Global Ocean Cooling in September
by Ron Clutz, October 27, 2017 in ScienceMatters
September Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) are now available, and we see downward spikes in ocean temps everywhere, led by sharp decreases in the Tropics and SH, reversing the bump upward last month. The Tropical cooling in particular factors into forecasters favoring an unusually late La Nina appearance in coming months.
See also here
Al Gore’s Apocalyptic Fantasy Lecture at Rice University
by Andy May, October 24, 2017 in WUWT
As promised, I attended Al Gore’s climate change lecture at Rice University last night. Rice University is one of the most beautiful university campuses I’ve ever seen, so it was a delight to see it again. The architecture is outstanding, and the buildings are placed in a garden-like setting. It was lovely to walk from the parking lot to the fieldhouse. The speech was held in a packed Tudor Fieldhouse which seats 5,750. By the time the Rice University Provost was introducing Al Gore, there were no empty seats that I could see, see Figure 1.
Lies and Manipulation: The Sorry State of Global Climate Alarmism
by Vijay Jayaraj, October 24, 2017 in WUWT
As a citizen of a third-world country, I bring a different perspective about climate change from that held by most people in wealthy countries. While they fret about possible tenth-of-a-degree changes in global average temperature, I think about how a billion of my fellow Indians and I will obtain the food, water, health care, and other things we need that our richer neighbors take for granted.
See also here
A skeptic attempts to break the ‘pal review’ glass ceiling in climate modeling
by Pat Frank, October 23, 2017 in WUWT
Regular readers at Anthony’s Watts Up With That will know that for several years, since July 2013 in fact, I have been trying to publish an analysis of climate model error.
The analysis propagates a lower limit calibration error of climate models through their air temperature projections. Anyone reading here can predict the result. Climate models are utterly unreliable. For a more extended discussion see my prior WUWT post on this topic (thank-you Anthony).
All the major nations are failing to meet their Paris targets says Nature paper
by JoNova, October 18, 2017
The Magnificent Paris deal was rubbery-theatre, make-of-it-what-you-will, and with rare diligence here is Naturepublishing a paper where a team bothered to check progress. (If only Nature held scientific research as accountable as political deals. MBH98 anyone — where Mann’s hockeystick was accepted by Nature, but not the corrections?)
Numerical simulations to quantify the diurnal contrast in local climate trend induced by desert urbanization
by S. Kamal et al., September 30, 2017 in Environment SystemsDecisions
Within this scope, the results reveal a pattern of the climatic effect of desert urbanization with nighttime warming and weaker, but significant daytime cooling. This effect is confined to the urban area and is not sensitive to the size of the city or the detailed land cover types in the surrounding areas. The pattern is identified in both winter and summer.